Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Orihuela to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrihuela to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceOrihuela or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.34
Real Murcia II vs Orihuela preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 3 sees Real Murcia II take on Orihuela on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT). Real Murcia II are 15th with 8 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Orihuela sit 12th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Real Murcia II's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Pamplona 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Orihuela's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to FC Cartagena 0–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Real Murcia II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for Real Murcia II and 1.8 for Orihuela. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 46%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Murcia II 16%, draw 24%, Orihuela 60%.
Safer route: Orihuela or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Value angle: Orihuela to win at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Orihuela or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Real Murcia II 0–1 Orihuela. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Murcia II16%fair 6.29 · @3.75
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.40
Orihuela60%fair 1.65 · @1.80
2.57Expected goals
0.79Real Murcia II xG
1.78Orihuela xG
46%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Real Murcia II 0.8 – 1.8 Orihuela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orihuela to win✓
60%
1.65
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Orihuela or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Orihuela ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orihuela / FT Orihuela✓
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.34
–
Form
Real Murcia II – last 6
DWWDWW
20 Jun
@ Pamplona
1–1
D
14 Jun
vs Pamplona
2–1
W
7 Jun
vs Olímpico Totana
2–1
W
31 May
@ Olímpico Totana
1–1
D
24 May
vs Mazarrón FC
2–0
W
2 May
@ Santa Cruz
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Orihuela – last 6
LWLDWD
12 Aug
@ FC Cartagena
0–3
L
3 May
vs Getafe II
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Las Palmas II
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Conquense
2–2
D
29 Mar
@ Tenerife II
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ Rayo Vallecano II
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Murcia II and Orihuela.
What is the prediction for Real Murcia II vs Orihuela?
Our pick is Orihuela or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Real Murcia II vs Orihuela?
On our numbers Real Murcia II have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Orihuela 60%.
How many goals will there be in Real Murcia II vs Orihuela?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Murcia II vs Orihuela?
Our predicted score is Real Murcia II 0–1 Orihuela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Real Murcia II vs Orihuela?
Real Murcia II vs Orihuela (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
