Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.10
Alcoyano vs Cieza preview and prediction
The match
Cieza travel to Estadio El Collao in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on Saturday 5 September (19:00 WAT) to face Alcoyano. Alcoyano are 7th with 14 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Cieza sit 6th on 14 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Alcoyano's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Hércules 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cieza's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Santomera 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Alcoyano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Alcoyano and 0.8 for Cieza. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 46%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alcoyano 57%, draw 22%, Cieza 21%.
Safer route: Alcoyano or draw (79%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alcoyano to win – a 57% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Alcoyano 1–0 Cieza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alcoyano57%fair 1.76 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.20
Cieza21%fair 4.79 · @4.00
2.43Expected goals
1.59Alcoyano xG
0.83Cieza xG
46%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Alcoyano 1.6 – 0.8 Cieza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alcoyano to win✗
57%
1.76
1.80
Double chance
Alcoyano or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alcoyano / FT Alcoyano✗
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.10
–
Form
Alcoyano – last 6
WWDDWD
14 Aug
vs Hércules
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ La Nucía
2–1
W
17 May
@ SS Reyes
1–1
D
3 May
@ Porreres
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Sant Andreu
2–0
W
19 Apr
@ Andratx
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cieza – last 6
WLDWDD
22 Aug
@ Santomera
2–1
W
5 Aug
vs Real Murcia
1–4
L
10 Apr
@ Real Murcia II
0–0
D
2 Apr
vs Yeclano II
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ SFC Minerva
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Atlético Pulpileño
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alcoyano and Cieza.
Our pick is Alcoyano to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Alcoyano vs Cieza?
On our numbers Alcoyano have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cieza 21%.
How many goals will there be in Alcoyano vs Cieza?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcoyano vs Cieza?
Our predicted score is Alcoyano 1–0 Cieza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Alcoyano vs Cieza?
Alcoyano vs Cieza (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Collao.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
