Segunda División RFEF Group 1 · Spain
Gimnástica Torrelavega
Gernika
Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Gernika prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Gernika to win @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gimnástica Torrelavega 1.0 – 1.6 Gernika expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Gernika shade it despite being away from home – 52% to win, against 26% for Gimnástica Torrelavega.
Gimnástica Torrelavega have taken 2 points from their last 6 matches (0W 2D 4L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 2.0 per game. Gernika have 4 points from their last 6 (0W 4D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.0 for Gimnástica Torrelavega, 1.6 for Gernika). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (12%), 1–2 (9%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.36. For a bigger price, Gernika to win at 2.10 is our value angle (52% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Gernika to win ✗ | 52% | 1.94 | 2.10 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 50% | 1.98 | 1.84 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.32 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | 1.66 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.36 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Gernika / FT Gernika ✗ | 30% | 3.30 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.68 | – |
Form
Gimnástica Torrelavega – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Amorebieta | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Oct | vs UD Ourense | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | @ Ourense CF | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Deportivo Alavés II | 1–5 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Sestao River | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Marino de Luanco | 1–2 | L |
Gernika – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Marino de Luanco | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Atlético Astorga | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Amorebieta | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Deportivo Alavés II | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Sestao River | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Coruxo | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnástica Torrelavega and Gernika.
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Marino de Luanco0
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Sestao River2
Deportivo Alavés II0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Gernika?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Gernika?
On our numbers Gimnástica Torrelavega have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gernika 52%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Gernika?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Gernika?
Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Gernika (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.