Segunda División RFEF Group 1 · Spain
Llanera
Bergantiños
Llanera vs Bergantiños prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.66 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Llanera 1.5 – 1.6 Bergantiños expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Llanera and Bergantiños on our numbers – 35% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Llanera have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.2 per game. Bergantiños have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.3 scored and 1.5 conceded. Bergantiños come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.5 for Llanera, 1.6 for Bergantiños). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.24 is close to our fair price of 1.29. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 1.66 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bergantiños to win ✗ | 41% | 2.44 | 2.14 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.24 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.66 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.24 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.80 | 1.81 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.31 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 39% | 2.59 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bergantiños / FT Bergantiños ✗ | 24% | 4.09 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.48 | – |
Form
Llanera – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Real Oviedo II | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Oct | vs Ponferradina | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Oct | vs Compostela | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ Arosa | 1–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Marino de Luanco | 4–2 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Basconia | 1–1 | D |
Bergantiños – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Ourense CF | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Eibar II | 2–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Real Oviedo II | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Arosa | 2–2 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Coruxo | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Portugalete | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Llanera and Bergantiños.
More Segunda División RFEF Group 1 predictions
Real Oviedo II1
Coruxo1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
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FT
Marino de Luanco0
Racing Santander II1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
73%@1.27
✗
FT
Arosa1
Compostela2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
74%@1.26
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FT
Ourense CF0
Portugalete3
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
68%@1.33
✓
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Gimnástica Torrelavega0
Gernika0
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
74%@1.22
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Sestao River2
Deportivo Alavés II0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Llanera vs Bergantiños?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Llanera vs Bergantiños?
On our numbers Llanera have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bergantiños 41%.
How many goals will there be in Llanera vs Bergantiños?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is Llanera vs Bergantiños?
Llanera vs Bergantiños (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.