Segunda División RFEF Group 1 · Spain

Arosa

DWLWD
1–2
FT

Compostela

DWWWL

Arosa vs Compostela prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.26 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.26Odds
2

Value bet: Compostela to win @ 2.61 – our chance 45% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultCompostela to win ✓45% · @2.61
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.69
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.76

Win chances

Arosa33%fair 3.07 · @2.43
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.10
Compostela45%fair 2.21 · @2.61
2.81Expected goals
1.27Arosa xG
1.55Compostela xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%

From our goals model: Arosa 1.3 – 1.5 Compostela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Compostela shade it despite being away from home – 45% to win, against 33% for Arosa.

Arosa have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Compostela have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.

We expect around 2.8 goals (1.3 for Arosa, 1.5 for Compostela). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (9%), 1–2 (9%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.26 is close to our fair price of 1.34. For a bigger price, Compostela to win at 2.61 is our value angle (45% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCompostela to win ✓45%2.212.61 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.26
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.681.69
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.341.26
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.961.88
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.28
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Compostela / FT Compostela ✗26%3.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9%10.76–

Form

Arosa – last 6

DWLWDD
1 Nov@ Portugalete3–3D
27 Octvs Pontevedra2–0W
24 Oct@ Sestao River0–1L
18 Octvs Llanera4–1W
11 Octvs Bergantiños2–2D
4 Oct@ Ourense CF0–0D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Compostela – last 6

DWWWLL
1 Novvs Basconia0–0D
24 Oct@ Llanera3–1W
17 Octvs Atlético Astorga4–1W
11 Oct@ Coruxo1–0W
4 Octvs Real Oviedo II1–2L
27 Sep@ Eibar II0–1L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Arosa and Compostela.

More Segunda División RFEF Group 1 predictions

FT Real Oviedo II1 Coruxo1 492229 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.21 ✓ FT Llanera4 Bergantiños3 352441 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.24 ✓ FT Marino de Luanco0 Racing Santander II1 372439 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.27 ✗ FT Ourense CF0 Portugalete3 392536 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.33 ✓ FT Gimnástica Torrelavega0 Gernika0 262252 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.22 ✓ FT Sestao River2 Deportivo Alavés II0 442333 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 69%@1.36 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arosa vs Compostela?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.

Who will win Arosa vs Compostela?

On our numbers Arosa have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Compostela 45%.

How many goals will there be in Arosa vs Compostela?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

When is Arosa vs Compostela?

Arosa vs Compostela (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.