Segunda División RFEF Group 1 · Spain · Estadio de O Couto

Ourense CF

DWLLD
0–3
FT

Portugalete

DDDWL

Ourense CF vs Portugalete prediction & analysis

68%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultOurense CF to win ✗39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.84

Win chances

Ourense CF39%fair 2.55 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.98
Portugalete36%fair 2.76 · @2.88
2.38Expected goals
1.22Ourense CF xG
1.16Portugalete xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Ourense CF 1.2 – 1.2 Portugalete expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Ourense CF and Portugalete on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Ourense CF have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Portugalete have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.

We expect around 2.4 goals (1.2 for Ourense CF, 1.2 for Portugalete). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (11%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.46.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOurense CF to win ✗39%2.552.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.941.83
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.461.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.761.63
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.19
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ourense CF / FT Ourense CF ✗21%4.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%8.84–

Form

Ourense CF – last 6

DWLLDW
1 Nov@ Bergantiños1–1D
25 Octvs Gimnástica Torrelavega3–0W
17 Octvs Coruxo0–1L
10 Oct@ Atlético Astorga0–4L
4 Octvs Arosa0–0D
26 Sep@ Amorebieta1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Portugalete – last 6

DDDWLL
1 Novvs Arosa3–3D
25 Oct@ Basconia2–2D
17 Octvs Eibar II0–0D
10 Oct@ Amorebieta2–1W
3 Octvs Deportivo Alavés II0–2L
27 Sep@ Bergantiños2–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ourense CF and Portugalete.

More Segunda División RFEF Group 1 predictions

FT Real Oviedo II1 Coruxo1 492229 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.21 ✓ FT Llanera4 Bergantiños3 352441 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.24 ✓ FT Marino de Luanco0 Racing Santander II1 372439 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.27 ✗ FT Arosa1 Compostela2 332245 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.26 ✓ FT Gimnástica Torrelavega0 Gernika0 262252 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.22 ✓ FT Sestao River2 Deportivo Alavés II0 442333 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 69%@1.36 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ourense CF vs Portugalete?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Ourense CF vs Portugalete?

On our numbers Ourense CF have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Portugalete 36%.

How many goals will there be in Ourense CF vs Portugalete?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

When is Ourense CF vs Portugalete?

Ourense CF vs Portugalete (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de O Couto.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.