Ourense CF vs Gimnástica Torrelavega prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Ourense CF to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultOurense CF to win ✓63% · @1.55
Double chanceOurense CF or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.76
Ourense CF vs Gimnástica Torrelavega preview and prediction
The match
Ourense CF host Gimnástica Torrelavega in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadio de O Couto. Ourense CF are 10th with 14 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Gimnástica Torrelavega sit 18th on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Ourense CF's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Coruxo 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gimnástica Torrelavega's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Deportivo Alavés II 1–5 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ourense CF arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Ourense CF and 0.7 for Gimnástica Torrelavega. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%.
Our pre-match pick was Ourense CF to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Ourense CF 1–0 Gimnástica Torrelavega. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ourense CF63%fair 1.59 · @1.55
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.50
Gimnástica Torrelavega13%fair 7.67 · @5.50
2.50Expected goals
1.80Ourense CF xG
0.70Gimnástica Torrelavega xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Ourense CF 1.8 – 0.7 Gimnástica Torrelavega expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ourense CF to win✓
63%
1.59
1.55
Double chance
Ourense CF or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Ourense CF ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ourense CF / FT Ourense CF✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.76
–
Form
Ourense CF – last 6
LLDWLW
17 Oct
vs Coruxo
0–1
L
10 Oct
@ Atlético Astorga
0–4
L
4 Oct
vs Arosa
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Amorebieta
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Eibar II
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Marino de Luanco
2–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Gimnástica Torrelavega – last 6
LDLDLL
18 Oct
vs Deportivo Alavés II
1–5
L
10 Oct
@ Sestao River
0–0
D
3 Oct
vs Marino de Luanco
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Real Oviedo II
3–3
D
20 Sep
vs Bergantiños
0–3
L
12 Sep
@ Eibar II
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ourense CF and Gimnástica Torrelavega.
What is the prediction for Ourense CF vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
Our pick is Ourense CF to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Ourense CF vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
On our numbers Ourense CF have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gimnástica Torrelavega 13%.
How many goals will there be in Ourense CF vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ourense CF vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
Our predicted score is Ourense CF 1–0 Gimnástica Torrelavega, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ourense CF vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
Ourense CF vs Gimnástica Torrelavega (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de O Couto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
