Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.50
Atlético Astorga vs Gernika preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 1 sees Atlético Astorga take on Gernika on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT). Atlético Astorga are 17th with 7 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Gernika sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Atlético Astorga's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Compostela 1–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Gernika's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Amorebieta 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Atlético Astorga and 1.4 for Gernika. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlético Astorga 37%, draw 24%, Gernika 39%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Atlético Astorga 1–1 Gernika. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlético Astorga37%fair 2.70 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.20
Gernika39%fair 2.55 · @2.30
2.79Expected goals
1.37Atlético Astorga xG
1.42Gernika xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–28%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Atlético Astorga 1.4 – 1.4 Gernika expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gernika to win✗
39%
2.55
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gernika / FT Gernika✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.50
–
Form
Atlético Astorga – last 6
LWLLWL
17 Oct
@ Compostela
1–4
L
10 Oct
vs Ourense CF
4–0
W
3 Oct
vs Amorebieta
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Sestao River
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Marino de Luanco
3–0
W
13 Sep
@ Basconia
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gernika – last 6
LDLDWW
17 Oct
vs Amorebieta
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Deportivo Alavés II
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Sestao River
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Coruxo
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Llanera
4–0
W
13 Sep
@ Arosa
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Astorga and Gernika.
What is the prediction for Atlético Astorga vs Gernika?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Atlético Astorga vs Gernika?
On our numbers Atlético Astorga have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gernika 39%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Astorga vs Gernika?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Astorga vs Gernika?
Our predicted score is Atlético Astorga 1–1 Gernika, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atlético Astorga vs Gernika?
Atlético Astorga vs Gernika (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
