Sestao River vs Atlético Astorga prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Sestao River to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSestao River to win ✓64% · @1.75
Double chanceSestao River or draw ✓89% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.03
Sestao River vs Atlético Astorga preview and prediction
The match
Atlético Astorga travel to Estadio Las Llanas in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 26 September (17:30 WAT) to face Sestao River. Sestao River are 1st with 25 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Atlético Astorga sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sestao River's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Compostela 0–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atlético Astorga's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Marino de Luanco 3–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Sestao River arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Sestao River and 0.6 for Atlético Astorga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 42%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sestao River 64%, draw 25%, Atlético Astorga 11%.
Safer route: Sestao River or draw (89%) at 1.14.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sestao River to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sestao River 1–0 Atlético Astorga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sestao River64%fair 1.56 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.20
Atlético Astorga11%fair 9.11 · @4.33
2.36Expected goals
1.76Sestao River xG
0.60Atlético Astorga xG
42%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–09%
From our goals model: Sestao River 1.8 – 0.6 Atlético Astorga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sestao River to win✓
64%
1.56
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Sestao River or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Sestao River ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sestao River / FT Sestao River✓
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.03
–
Form
Sestao River – last 6
LWWDWW
20 Sep
@ Compostela
0–2
L
16 Sep
@ Comillas
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Real Oviedo II
2–0
W
9 Sep
@ Badalona II
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Racing Santander II
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Derio
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Atlético Astorga – last 6
WLLLWD
19 Sep
vs Marino de Luanco
3–0
W
13 Sep
@ Basconia
2–3
L
5 Sep
vs Portugalete
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Palencia CF
0–1
L
26 Aug
vs Salamanca UDS
2–1
W
21 Aug
vs Cultural Leonesa
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sestao River and Atlético Astorga.
What is the prediction for Sestao River vs Atlético Astorga?
Our pick is Sestao River to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Sestao River vs Atlético Astorga?
On our numbers Sestao River have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atlético Astorga 11%.
How many goals will there be in Sestao River vs Atlético Astorga?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sestao River vs Atlético Astorga?
Our predicted score is Sestao River 1–0 Atlético Astorga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sestao River vs Atlético Astorga?
Sestao River vs Atlético Astorga (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Las Llanas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
