Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.69
Amorebieta vs Ourense CF preview and prediction
The match
Amorebieta host Ourense CF in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe. Amorebieta are 7th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Ourense CF sit 10th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Amorebieta's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Racing Santander II 2–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Ourense CF's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Eibar II 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Amorebieta and 1.1 for Ourense CF. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 47%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Amorebieta 1–1 Ourense CF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Amorebieta41%fair 2.42 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.40
Ourense CF36%fair 2.76 · @2.90
2.38Expected goals
1.24Amorebieta xG
1.14Ourense CF xG
47%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Amorebieta 1.2 – 1.1 Ourense CF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amorebieta to win✗
41%
2.42
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amorebieta / FT Amorebieta✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.69
–
Form
Amorebieta – last 6
WLDLWD
20 Sep
@ Racing Santander II
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Bergantiños
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Arosa
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Athletic Club II
0–1
L
3 May
@ Mutilvera
2–0
W
26 Apr
vs Sestao River
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Ourense CF – last 6
LWWLLD
19 Sep
vs Eibar II
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Marino de Luanco
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Basconia
2–1
W
21 Aug
@ Lugo
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Pontevedra
1–2
L
14 Apr
@ Real Madrid II
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amorebieta and Ourense CF.
What is the prediction for Amorebieta vs Ourense CF?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Amorebieta vs Ourense CF?
On our numbers Amorebieta have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ourense CF 36%.
How many goals will there be in Amorebieta vs Ourense CF?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amorebieta vs Ourense CF?
Our predicted score is Amorebieta 1–1 Ourense CF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Amorebieta vs Ourense CF?
Amorebieta vs Ourense CF (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
