Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGernika to win ✓62% · @1.80
Double chanceGernika or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Gernika vs Llanera preview and prediction
The match
Gernika host Llanera in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Gernika are 11th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Llanera sit 13th on 10 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Gernika's last 5: WDDDL Most recently they beat Arosa 4–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Llanera's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Deportivo Alavés II 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.4 for Gernika and 1.1 for Llanera. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gernika 62%, draw 25%, Llanera 13%.
Safer route: Gernika or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gernika to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gernika 2–1 Llanera. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gernika62%fair 1.62 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.00
Llanera13%fair 7.45 · @4.33
3.50Expected goals
2.37Gernika xG
1.13Llanera xG
52%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–08%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Gernika 2.4 – 1.1 Llanera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gernika to win✓
62%
1.62
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Gernika or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Gernika ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gernika / FT Gernika✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.43
–
Form
Gernika – last 6
WDDDLD
13 Sep
@ Arosa
4–0
W
6 Sep
vs Bergantiños
2–2
D
3 May
vs Deportivo Alavés II
0–0
D
26 Apr
@ Basconia
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs UD Logroñés
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Sestao River
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Llanera – last 6
LLDWDW
13 Sep
vs Deportivo Alavés II
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–2
L
18 Aug
@ Sporting Gijón II
2–2
D
14 Aug
@ Avilés Stadium
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Llanes
0–0
D
2 Apr
@ L'Entregu
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gernika and Llanera.
Our pick is Gernika to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Gernika vs Llanera?
On our numbers Gernika have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Llanera 13%.
How many goals will there be in Gernika vs Llanera?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gernika vs Llanera?
Our predicted score is Gernika 2–1 Llanera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Gernika vs Llanera?
Gernika vs Llanera (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
