Value bet: Sestao River to win @ 2.80 – our chance 48% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +34%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSestao River to win ✗48% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗21% · fair 4.82
Compostela vs Sestao River preview and prediction
The match
Sestao River travel to face Compostela in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 20 September (16:00 WAT). Compostela are 5th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Sestao River sit 1st on 25 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Compostela's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Portugalete 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Sestao River's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Comillas 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sestao River arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.6 for Compostela and 0.9 for Sestao River. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Compostela 27%, draw 25%, Sestao River 48%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Sestao River to win at 2.80 – 48% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Compostela 0–0 Sestao River. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Compostela27%fair 3.69 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.70
Sestao River48%fair 2.08 · @2.80
1.50Expected goals
0.57Compostela xG
0.93Sestao River xG
46%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–022%
0–121%
1–013%
1–112%
0–210%
1–25%
From our goals model: Compostela 0.6 – 0.9 Sestao River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sestao River to win✗
48%
2.08
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
29%
3.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
21%
4.82
–
Form
Compostela – last 6
DDLLLW
13 Sep
@ Portugalete
0–0
D
9 Sep
vs Derio
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Marino de Luanco
0–3
L
18 Jul
vs Deportivo La Coruna
0–4
L
21 Jun
@ Badalona II
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Badalona II
3–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sestao River – last 6
WWDWWD
16 Sep
@ Comillas
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Real Oviedo II
2–0
W
9 Sep
@ Badalona II
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Racing Santander II
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Derio
1–0
W
11 Aug
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Compostela and Sestao River.
What is the prediction for Compostela vs Sestao River?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Compostela vs Sestao River?
On our numbers Compostela have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sestao River 48%.
How many goals will there be in Compostela vs Sestao River?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Compostela vs Sestao River?
Our predicted score is Compostela 0–0 Sestao River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Compostela vs Sestao River?
Compostela vs Sestao River (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
