Value bet: Llanera to win @ 3.10 – our chance 42% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLlanera to win ✗42% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.54
Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Llanera preview and prediction
The match
Llanera travel to face Gimnástica Torrelavega in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 5 September (18:00 WAT). Gimnástica Torrelavega are 18th with 6 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Llanera sit 13th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Gimnástica Torrelavega's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Bezana 1–0 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Llanera's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Sporting Gijón II 2–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gimnástica Torrelavega arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Gimnástica Torrelavega and 1.4 for Llanera. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 47%.
Value angle: Llanera to win at 3.10 – 42% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Gimnástica Torrelavega 1–1 Llanera. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimnástica Torrelavega34%fair 2.96 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
Llanera42%fair 2.40 · @3.10
2.57Expected goals
1.20Gimnástica Torrelavega xG
1.37Llanera xG
47%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Gimnástica Torrelavega 1.2 – 1.4 Llanera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Llanera to win✗
42%
2.40
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Llanera / FT Llanera✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.54
–
Form
Gimnástica Torrelavega – last 6
WDWWWW
14 Aug
@ Bezana
1–0
W
11 Aug
vs Sestao River
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Basconia
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Sporting Gijon
5–0
W
1 May
vs Noja
6–0
W
5 Apr
vs Escobedo
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Llanera – last 6
DWDWWD
18 Aug
@ Sporting Gijón II
2–2
D
14 Aug
@ Avilés Stadium
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Llanes
0–0
D
2 Apr
@ L'Entregu
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Colunga
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Mosconia
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnástica Torrelavega and Llanera.
What is the prediction for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Llanera?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Llanera?
On our numbers Gimnástica Torrelavega have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Llanera 42%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Llanera?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Llanera?
Our predicted score is Gimnástica Torrelavega 1–1 Llanera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Llanera?
Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Llanera (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
