Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHebar 1918 to win ✓63% · @1.48
Double chanceHebar 1918 or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar preview and prediction
The match
Hebar 1918 host Nesebar in the Second League on Friday 23 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski. Hebar 1918 are 6th with 23 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Nesebar sit 14th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Hebar 1918's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Pirin Blagoevgrad 4–1 away. They are scoring freely – 3.7 goals a game.
Nesebar's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to CSKA Sofia 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Hebar 1918 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Hebar 1918 and 1.0 for Nesebar. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 50% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Hebar 1918 to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Hebar 1918 2–0 Nesebar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hebar 191863%fair 1.58 · @1.48
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @4.10
Nesebar13%fair 7.47 · @5.20
3.22Expected goals
2.23Hebar 1918 xG
0.99Nesebar xG
50%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Hebar 1918 2.2 – 1.0 Nesebar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hebar 1918 to win✓
63%
1.58
1.48
Double chance
Hebar 1918 or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Hebar 1918 ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hebar 1918 / FT Hebar 1918✓
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
Hebar 1918 – last 6
WWWLWW
17 Oct
@ Pirin Blagoevgrad
4–1
W
10 Oct
@ Sportist Svoge
3–1
W
4 Oct
@ Yambol 1915
5–0
W
27 Sep
vs Dobrudzha
1–2
L
21 Sep
@ Montana
5–0
W
14 Sep
vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo
4–1
W
3.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Nesebar – last 6
LDDLWD
18 Oct
vs CSKA Sofia
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs CSKA Sofia II
0–0
D
4 Oct
@ Rodopa Smolyan
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Vihren
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Beroe
4–3
W
15 Sep
@ Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hebar 1918 and Nesebar.
Our pick is Hebar 1918 to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar?
On our numbers Hebar 1918 have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nesebar 13%.
How many goals will there be in Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar?
Our predicted score is Hebar 1918 2–0 Nesebar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar?
Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar (Second League) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
