Second League · Bulgaria · Stadion PlevenSpartak Pleven vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Spartak Pleven 1.6 – 1.4 Etar Veliko Tarnovo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Spartak Pleven and Etar Veliko Tarnovo on our numbers – 42% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Spartak Pleven have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.7 per game. Etar Veliko Tarnovo have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.6 for Spartak Pleven, 1.4 for Etar Veliko Tarnovo). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.70 is close to our fair price of 1.76.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Spartak Pleven to win ✓ | 42% | 2.38 | 2.50 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.91 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 39% | 2.54 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Spartak Pleven / FT Spartak Pleven ✓ | 25% | 4.08 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✓ | 9% | 11.37 | – |
Form
Spartak Pleven – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Levski Sofia | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Pirin Blagoevgrad | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ Levski Krumovgrad | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Fratria | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Sep | vs Ludogorets II | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 0–3 | L |
Etar Veliko Tarnovo – last 6
| 19 Oct | vs Spartak Varna | 2–4 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Fratria | 2–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Chernomorets Balchik | 3–2 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 2–4 | L |
| 14 Sep | @ Hebar 1918 | 1–4 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs CSKA Sofia II | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartak Pleven and Etar Veliko Tarnovo.
Second League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSKA Sofia II | 15 | +18 | 31 |
| 2 |  Vihren | 15 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 4 |  Fratria | 14 | +10 | 25 |
| 5 |  Yantra 2019 | 15 | +5 | 24 |
| 6 |  Hebar 1918 | 15 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 15 | +1 | 23 |
| 8 |  Beroe | 15 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 |  Ludogorets II | 14 | +6 | 22 |
| 10 |  Spartak Pleven | 15 | -9 | 21 |
| 11 |  Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 14 | +1 | 21 |
| 12 |  Rilski Sportist | 15 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 |  Marek | 15 | -4 | 18 |
| 14 |  Nesebar | 15 | -1 | 18 |
| 15 |  Montana | 15 | -11 | 15 |
| 16 |  Sportist Svoge | 15 | -9 | 12 |
| 17 |  Dobrudzha | 14 | -13 | 10 |
| 18 |  Pirin Blagoevgrad | 15 | -33 | 2 |
More Second League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Spartak Pleven vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Spartak Pleven vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
On our numbers Spartak Pleven have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Etar Veliko Tarnovo 35%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Pleven vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Spartak Pleven vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
Spartak Pleven vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo (Second League) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Pleven.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.