Second League · Bulgaria · Stadion Chavdar TsvetkovSportist Svoge vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sportist Svoge 1.4 – 0.7 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sportist Svoge hold the edge on home soil with a 57% chance of winning, against 19% for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa.
Sportist Svoge have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 0.7 per game. Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.4 for Sportist Svoge, 0.7 for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (17%), 2–0 (12%), 0–0 (12%).
In their last 1 meeting, Sportist Svoge have won 0, Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is close to our fair price of 1.65.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sportist Svoge to win ✗ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.80 |
| Double chance | Sportist Svoge or draw ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sportist Svoge / FT Sportist Svoge ✗ | 33% | 3.03 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 17% | 5.82 | – |
Form
Sportist Svoge – last 6
| 2 Sep | @ Rilski Sportist | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Marek | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Aug | @ Yantra 2019 | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | vs Nesebar | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Aug | vs Pirin Blagoevgrad | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Aug | @ Dobrudzha | 0–0 | D |
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa – last 6
| 3 Sep | vs Dobrudzha | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ Montana | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Aug | vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | @ Spartak Pleven | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | vs Fratria | 0–2 | L |
| 3 Aug | @ Ludogorets II | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 29 Mar 2026 | Sportist Svoge v Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 0–1 |
Second League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSKA Sofia II | 15 | +18 | 31 |
| 2 |  Vihren | 15 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 4 |  Fratria | 14 | +10 | 25 |
| 5 |  Yantra 2019 | 15 | +5 | 24 |
| 6 |  Hebar 1918 | 15 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 15 | +1 | 23 |
| 8 |  Beroe | 15 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 |  Ludogorets II | 14 | +6 | 22 |
| 10 |  Spartak Pleven | 15 | -9 | 21 |
| 11 |  Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 14 | +1 | 21 |
| 12 |  Rilski Sportist | 15 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 |  Marek | 15 | -4 | 18 |
| 14 |  Nesebar | 15 | -1 | 18 |
| 15 |  Montana | 15 | -11 | 15 |
| 16 |  Sportist Svoge | 15 | -9 | 12 |
| 17 |  Dobrudzha | 14 | -13 | 10 |
| 18 |  Pirin Blagoevgrad | 15 | -33 | 2 |
More Second League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sportist Svoge vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Sportist Svoge vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa?
On our numbers Sportist Svoge have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 19%.
How many goals will there be in Sportist Svoge vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
When is Sportist Svoge vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa?
Sportist Svoge vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa (Second League) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.