Second League · Bulgaria · Stadion PlevenSpartak Pleven vs Hebar 1918 prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.86 · bookmaker 1.90 · Won ✓
Value bet: Hebar 1918 to win @ 2.38 – our chance 48% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Spartak Pleven 1.3 – 1.7 Hebar 1918 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Hebar 1918 shade it despite being away from home – 48% to win, against 31% for Spartak Pleven.
Spartak Pleven have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.3 per game. Hebar 1918 have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded. Hebar 1918 come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.3 for Spartak Pleven, 1.7 for Hebar 1918). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 54% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.90 is close to our fair price of 1.86. For a bigger price, Hebar 1918 to win at 2.38 is our value angle (48% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Hebar 1918 to win ✗ | 48% | 2.09 | 2.38 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.98 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.90 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 40% | 2.53 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Hebar 1918 / FT Hebar 1918 ✗ | 28% | 3.56 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 10.73 | – |
Form
Spartak Pleven – last 6
| 3 Sep | @ CSKA Sofia II | 1–5 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Vihren | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | @ Beroe | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Aug | vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Aug | @ Rilski Sportist | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Aug | vs Marek | 2–1 | W |
Hebar 1918 – last 6
| 1 Sep | vs Fratria | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Ludogorets II | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Aug | @ Pirin Blagoevgrad | 3–2 | W |
| 11 Aug | @ CSKA Sofia II | 3–4 | L |
| 2 Aug | vs Vihren | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartak Pleven and Hebar 1918.
Second League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSKA Sofia II | 15 | +18 | 31 |
| 2 |  Vihren | 15 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 4 |  Fratria | 14 | +10 | 25 |
| 5 |  Yantra 2019 | 15 | +5 | 24 |
| 6 |  Hebar 1918 | 15 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 15 | +1 | 23 |
| 8 |  Beroe | 15 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 |  Ludogorets II | 14 | +6 | 22 |
| 10 |  Spartak Pleven | 15 | -9 | 21 |
| 11 |  Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 14 | +1 | 21 |
| 12 |  Rilski Sportist | 15 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 |  Marek | 15 | -4 | 18 |
| 14 |  Nesebar | 15 | -1 | 18 |
| 15 |  Montana | 15 | -11 | 15 |
| 16 |  Sportist Svoge | 15 | -9 | 12 |
| 17 |  Dobrudzha | 14 | -13 | 10 |
| 18 |  Pirin Blagoevgrad | 15 | -33 | 2 |
More Second League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Spartak Pleven vs Hebar 1918?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Spartak Pleven vs Hebar 1918?
On our numbers Spartak Pleven have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hebar 1918 48%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Pleven vs Hebar 1918?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Spartak Pleven vs Hebar 1918?
Spartak Pleven vs Hebar 1918 (Second League) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Pleven.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.