Second League · Bulgaria · Albena StadiumFratria vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas prediction & analysis
Fratria to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Fratria 1.6 – 0.6 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Fratria are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 12% for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas.
Fratria have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.5 per game. Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. Fratria come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.6 for Fratria, 0.6 for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 58% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (19%), 2–0 (15%), 0–0 (12%).
Our pick is Fratria to win at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is close to our fair price of 1.60.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Fratria to win ✗ | 62% | 1.60 | 1.62 |
| Double chance | Fratria or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 60% | 1.68 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Fratria / FT Fratria ✗ | 38% | 2.60 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 19% | 5.36 | – |
Form
Fratria – last 6
| 1 Sep | @ Hebar 1918 | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs CSKA Sofia II | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | @ Vihren | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Aug | vs Beroe | 2–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | @ Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 2–0 | W |
| 1 Aug | vs Rilski Sportist | 1–0 | W |
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas – last 6
| 2 Sep | vs Ludogorets II | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Pirin Blagoevgrad | 3–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ Hebar 1918 | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | vs CSKA Sofia II | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Aug | @ Vihren | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Aug | vs Beroe | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fratria and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas.
Second League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSKA Sofia II | 15 | +18 | 31 |
| 2 |  Vihren | 15 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 4 |  Fratria | 14 | +10 | 25 |
| 5 |  Yantra 2019 | 15 | +5 | 24 |
| 6 |  Hebar 1918 | 15 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 15 | +1 | 23 |
| 8 |  Beroe | 15 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 |  Ludogorets II | 14 | +6 | 22 |
| 10 |  Spartak Pleven | 15 | -9 | 21 |
| 11 |  Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 14 | +1 | 21 |
| 12 |  Rilski Sportist | 15 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 |  Marek | 15 | -4 | 18 |
| 14 |  Nesebar | 15 | -1 | 18 |
| 15 |  Montana | 15 | -11 | 15 |
| 16 |  Sportist Svoge | 15 | -9 | 12 |
| 17 |  Dobrudzha | 14 | -13 | 10 |
| 18 |  Pirin Blagoevgrad | 15 | -33 | 2 |
More Second League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Fratria vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Our pick is Fratria to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Fratria vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
On our numbers Fratria have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 12%.
How many goals will there be in Fratria vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
When is Fratria vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Fratria vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (Second League) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Albena Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.