Value bet: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChernomorets 1919 Burgas to win ✗39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.84
Hebar 1918 vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas preview and prediction
The match
Hebar 1918 host Chernomorets 1919 Burgas in the Second League on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski. Hebar 1918 are 6th with 23 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Chernomorets 1919 Burgas sit 3rd on 29 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Hebar 1918's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Pirin Blagoevgrad 3–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to CSKA Sofia II 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 April 2026, finished Hebar 1918 1–3 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Hebar 1918 and 1.5 for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 51% and both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win at 2.90 – 39% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.94, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hebar 1918 1–2 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hebar 191838%fair 2.65 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.20
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas39%fair 2.59 · @2.90
2.91Expected goals
1.44Hebar 1918 xG
1.46Chernomorets 1919 Burgas xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Hebar 1918 1.4 – 1.5 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win✗
39%
2.59
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chernomorets 1919 Burgas / FT Chernomorets 1919 Burgas✗
What is the prediction for Hebar 1918 vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Hebar 1918 vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
On our numbers Hebar 1918 have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 39%.
How many goals will there be in Hebar 1918 vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hebar 1918 vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Our predicted score is Hebar 1918 1–2 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Hebar 1918 vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Hebar 1918 vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
