Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.90 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.90Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFratria to win ✓60% · @1.67
Double chanceFratria or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓65% · fair 1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61% · @1.90
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓22% · fair 4.65
Fratria vs Rilski Sportist preview and prediction
The match
Rilski Sportist travel to Albena Stadium in the Second League on Saturday 1 August (18:00 WAT) to face Fratria. Fratria are 4th with 25 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Rilski Sportist sit 12th on 20 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Fratria's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Marek 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Rilski Sportist's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Ludogorets II 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.4 for Fratria and 0.5 for Rilski Sportist. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fratria 1–0 Rilski Sportist. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fratria60%fair 1.66 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.50
Rilski Sportist15%fair 6.64 · @4.50
1.84Expected goals
1.35Fratria xG
0.49Rilski Sportist xG
35%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
0–016%
2–015%
1–110%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Fratria 1.4 – 0.5 Rilski Sportist expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fratria to win✓
60%
1.66
1.67
Double chance
Fratria or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.90 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fratria / FT Fratria✓
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
22%
4.65
–
Form
Fratria – last 6
LDDWDL
25 Jul
vs Marek
0–1
L
10 Jul
@ Yantra 2019
1–1
D
27 Jun
@ Farul Constanta
1–1
D
23 May
vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
3–0
W
11 May
vs Dunav Ruse
2–2
D
4 May
@ Vihren
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rilski Sportist – last 6
LLLWLW
28 Jul
vs Ludogorets II
0–1
L
11 Jul
vs CSKA Sofia II
0–2
L
8 Jul
vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Vihren
1–0
W
1 Jul
vs Arda Kardzhali
0–2
L
22 Apr
vs Kostinbrod
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fratria and Rilski Sportist.
What is the prediction for Fratria vs Rilski Sportist?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Fratria vs Rilski Sportist?
On our numbers Fratria have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rilski Sportist 15%.
How many goals will there be in Fratria vs Rilski Sportist?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fratria vs Rilski Sportist?
Our predicted score is Fratria 1–0 Rilski Sportist, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Fratria vs Rilski Sportist?
Fratria vs Rilski Sportist (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Albena Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
