Value bet: Beroe to win @ 3.25 – our chance 39% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBeroe to win ✗39% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.31
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Beroe preview and prediction
The match
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas host Beroe in the Second League on Saturday 1 August, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at efbet Arena. Chernomorets 1919 Burgas are 3rd with 29 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Beroe sit 8th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Beroe's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Hebar 1918 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas and 1.2 for Beroe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 47%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Beroe to win at 3.25 – 39% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1–1 Beroe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas38%fair 2.61 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.25
Beroe39%fair 2.59 · @3.25
2.43Expected goals
1.21Chernomorets 1919 Burgas xG
1.22Beroe xG
47%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1.2 – 1.2 Beroe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beroe to win✗
39%
2.59
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beroe / FT Beroe✗
21%
4.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.31
–
Form
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas – last 6
DLLLWD
25 Jul
@ Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1–1
D
1 Jul
@ Botev Plovdiv
0–4
L
23 May
@ Sevlievo
2–3
L
11 May
@ Marek
0–3
L
27 Apr
@ Hebar 1918
3–1
W
16 Apr
vs Ludogorets II
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Beroe – last 6
WDLLLL
24 Jul
vs Hebar 1918
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Zagorets
0–0
D
15 Jul
vs Maritsa Milevo
1–2
L
12 Jul
@ Botev Plovdiv
0–4
L
22 May
@ Botev Vratsa
0–3
L
18 May
vs Septemvri Sofia
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chernomorets 1919 Burgas and Beroe.
What is the prediction for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Beroe?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Beroe?
On our numbers Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Beroe 39%.
How many goals will there be in Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Beroe?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Beroe?
Our predicted score is Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1–1 Beroe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Beroe?
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Beroe (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at efbet Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
