The Primera División RFEF Group 2 sees Real Jaén take on Villarreal II on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 17:45 (WAT) at Nuevo Estadio de La Victoria. Real Jaén are 4th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Villarreal II sit 2nd on 22 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Real Jaén's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Hércules 0–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Villarreal II's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Ibiza 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Real Jaén and 1.4 for Villarreal II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Jaén 32%, draw 23%, Villarreal II 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Real Jaén 1–1 Villarreal II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Jaén32%fair 3.15 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @2.90
Villarreal II45%fair 2.23 · @2.30
2.58Expected goals
1.15Real Jaén xG
1.43Villarreal II xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Real Jaén 1.1 – 1.4 Villarreal II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarreal II to win✗
45%
2.23
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarreal II / FT Villarreal II✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.23
–
Form
Real Jaén – last 6
DLWWDW
3 Oct
@ Hércules
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ Antequera
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Ibiza
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Teruel
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Huesca
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Europa Fc
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Villarreal II – last 6
LWDWWW
4 Oct
vs Ibiza
0–1
L
25 Sep
@ Atlético Madrid II
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Antequera
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Huesca
3–0
W
4 Sep
vs Algeciras
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Rayo Majadahonda
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Jaén and Villarreal II.
What is the prediction for Real Jaén vs Villarreal II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Real Jaén vs Villarreal II?
On our numbers Real Jaén have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Villarreal II 45%.
How many goals will there be in Real Jaén vs Villarreal II?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Jaén vs Villarreal II?
Our predicted score is Real Jaén 1–1 Villarreal II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Real Jaén vs Villarreal II?
Real Jaén vs Villarreal II (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Estadio de La Victoria.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
