Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Murcia to win ✓60% · @1.67
Double chanceReal Murcia or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Real Murcia vs Gimnastic preview and prediction
The match
Real Murcia host Gimnastic in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estadio Enrique Roca. Real Murcia are 3rd with 20 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Gimnastic sit 11th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Real Murcia's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Navalcarnero 1–3 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Gimnastic's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Sant Andreu 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Real Murcia and 1.0 for Gimnastic. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Murcia 60%, draw 24%, Gimnastic 15%.
Safer route: Real Murcia or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Real Murcia 2–1 Gimnastic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Murcia60%fair 1.66 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.50
Gimnastic15%fair 6.58 · @4.00
3.11Expected goals
2.10Real Murcia xG
1.01Gimnastic xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Real Murcia 2.1 – 1.0 Gimnastic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Murcia to win✓
60%
1.66
1.67
Double chance
Real Murcia or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Real Murcia ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Murcia / FT Real Murcia✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Form
Real Murcia – last 6
LWDLDW
30 Sep
@ Navalcarnero
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Europa Fc
2–1
W
16 Sep
@ Orihuela
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Atlético Madrid II
0–4
L
9 Sep
@ Mensajero
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Teruel
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gimnastic – last 6
LLWDWL
26 Sep
vs Sant Andreu
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Alcorcon
0–3
L
11 Sep
vs Algeciras
4–2
W
5 Sep
@ FC Cartagena
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Zaragoza
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Espanyol II
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Murcia and Gimnastic.
What is the prediction for Real Murcia vs Gimnastic?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Real Murcia vs Gimnastic?
On our numbers Real Murcia have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gimnastic 15%.
How many goals will there be in Real Murcia vs Gimnastic?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Murcia vs Gimnastic?
Our predicted score is Real Murcia 2–1 Gimnastic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Real Murcia vs Gimnastic?
Real Murcia vs Gimnastic (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Enrique Roca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
