Algeciras vs Rayo Majadahonda prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Algeciras or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Algeciras to win @ 1.83 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlgeciras to win ✓61% · @1.83
Double chanceAlgeciras or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.92
Algeciras vs Rayo Majadahonda preview and prediction
The match
Rayo Majadahonda travel to Estadio Nuevo Mirador in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 4 October (17:45 WAT) to face Algeciras. Algeciras are 13th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Rayo Majadahonda sit 19th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Algeciras's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Juventud Torremolinos 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Rayo Majadahonda's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Europa Fc 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Algeciras and 0.9 for Rayo Majadahonda. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Algeciras to win at 1.83 – 61% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Algeciras or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Algeciras 2–0 Rayo Majadahonda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Algeciras61%fair 1.63 · @1.83
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.10
Rayo Majadahonda13%fair 7.69 · @3.90
2.90Expected goals
2.02Algeciras xG
0.88Rayo Majadahonda xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Algeciras 2.0 – 0.9 Rayo Majadahonda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Algeciras to win✓
61%
1.63
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Algeciras or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Algeciras ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Algeciras / FT Algeciras✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.92
–
Form
Algeciras – last 6
WDLLLD
26 Sep
@ Juventud Torremolinos
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Águilas
1–1
D
11 Sep
@ Gimnastic
2–4
L
4 Sep
@ Villarreal II
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs FC Cartagena
1–3
L
1 Aug
vs Tottenham Hotspur U21
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rayo Majadahonda – last 6
LWDLLW
27 Sep
@ Europa Fc
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Teruel
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs FC Cartagena
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Ibiza
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Villarreal II
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Algeciras and Rayo Majadahonda.
What is the prediction for Algeciras vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Our pick is Algeciras or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Algeciras vs Rayo Majadahonda?
On our numbers Algeciras have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Rayo Majadahonda 13%.
How many goals will there be in Algeciras vs Rayo Majadahonda?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Algeciras vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Our predicted score is Algeciras 2–0 Rayo Majadahonda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Algeciras vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Algeciras vs Rayo Majadahonda (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Mirador.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
