Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHércules to win ✓39% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12% · fair 8.26
Águilas vs Hércules preview and prediction
The match
Águilas host Hércules in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Estadio El Rubial. Águilas are 17th with 9 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Hércules sit 7th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Águilas's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Algeciras 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hércules's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Juventud Torremolinos 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Águilas and 1.1 for Hércules. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Águilas 37%, draw 25%, Hércules 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Águilas 1–1 Hércules. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Águilas37%fair 2.74 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
Hércules39%fair 2.57 · @2.70
2.25Expected goals
1.10Águilas xG
1.15Hércules xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Águilas 1.1 – 1.1 Hércules expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hércules to win✓
39%
2.57
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hércules / FT Hércules✗
21%
4.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
12%
8.26
–
Form
Águilas – last 6
DWLDWD
20 Sep
@ Algeciras
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Real Madrid II
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Sant Andreu
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Alcorcon
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Lorca Deportiva
1–0
W
24 May
vs Poblense
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Hércules – last 6
WWLLLD
20 Sep
vs Juventud Torremolinos
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Europa Fc
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Atlético Madrid II
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Real Murcia
1–2
L
14 Aug
@ Alcoyano
0–1
L
7 Aug
vs Castellón
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Águilas and Hércules.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Águilas vs Hércules?
On our numbers Águilas have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Hércules 39%.
How many goals will there be in Águilas vs Hércules?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Águilas vs Hércules?
Our predicted score is Águilas 1–1 Hércules, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Águilas vs Hércules?
Águilas vs Hércules (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Rubial.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
