Primera División RFEF Group 2 · Spain · Estadio Municipal El PozueloJuventud Torremolinos vs Algeciras prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Juventud Torremolinos 1.4 – 1.6 Algeciras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Algeciras shade it despite being away from home – 43% to win, against 35% for Juventud Torremolinos.
Juventud Torremolinos have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7 per game. Algeciras have 3 points from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.4 for Juventud Torremolinos, 1.6 for Algeciras). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.32. For a bigger price, Over 2.5 goals at 2.10 is our value angle (52% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Algeciras to win ✓ | 43% | 2.33 | 2.35 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | 2.10 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.44 | 1.25 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 39% | 2.55 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Algeciras / FT Algeciras ✗ | 25% | 3.98 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✓ | 9% | 11.27 | – |
Form
Juventud Torremolinos – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Hércules | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Zaragoza | 3–4 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Real Madrid II | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | @ Atlético Madrid II | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Jul | @ Sevilla | 0–1 | L |
| 10 May | @ Marbella | 1–0 | W |
Algeciras – last 6
| 20 Sep | vs Águilas | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Sep | @ Gimnastic | 2–4 | L |
| 4 Sep | @ Villarreal II | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs FC Cartagena | 1–3 | L |
| 1 Aug | vs Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 1–1 | D |
| 1 May | vs FC Cartagena | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventud Torremolinos and Algeciras.
Primera División RFEF Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaragoza | 11 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Villarreal II | 11 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 |  Real Murcia | 11 | +4 | 20 |
| 4 |  Real Jaén | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Alcorcon | 11 | +9 | 18 |
| 6 |  Ibiza | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 |  Hércules | 11 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 |  FC Cartagena | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 9 |  Real Madrid II | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 10 |  Huesca | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 |  Gimnastic | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  Antequera | 11 | +2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Algeciras | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 |  Sant Andreu | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atlético Madrid II | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 16 |  Europa Fc | 11 | -11 | 10 |
| 17 |  Águilas | 11 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 |  Juventud Torremolinos | 11 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 |  Rayo Majadahonda | 11 | -7 | 7 |
| 20 |  Teruel | 11 | -13 | 7 |
More Primera División RFEF Group 2 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Juventud Torremolinos vs Algeciras?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Juventud Torremolinos vs Algeciras?
On our numbers Juventud Torremolinos have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Algeciras 43%.
How many goals will there be in Juventud Torremolinos vs Algeciras?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Juventud Torremolinos vs Algeciras?
Juventud Torremolinos vs Algeciras (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal El Pozuelo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.