Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Villarreal II to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVillarreal II to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chanceVillarreal II or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Villarreal II vs Antequera preview and prediction
The match
Antequera travel to Estadio de la Ceramica in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Saturday 19 September (17:45 WAT) to face Villarreal II. Villarreal II are 2nd with 22 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Antequera sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Villarreal II's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Huesca 3–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Antequera's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Alcorcon 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Villarreal II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Villarreal II and 0.8 for Antequera. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Villarreal II 64%, draw 21%, Antequera 15%.
Safer route: Villarreal II or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Villarreal II to win at 1.75 – 64% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Villarreal II or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Villarreal II 1–0 Antequera. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Villarreal II64%fair 1.55 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.20
Antequera15%fair 6.86 · @4.00
2.83Expected goals
2.00Villarreal II xG
0.83Antequera xG
55%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Villarreal II 2.0 – 0.8 Antequera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarreal II to win✗
64%
1.55
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Villarreal II or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Villarreal II ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarreal II / FT Villarreal II✗
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Form
Villarreal II – last 6
WWWLWL
13 Sep
@ Huesca
3–0
W
4 Sep
vs Algeciras
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Rayo Majadahonda
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Zaragoza
0–2
L
4 Aug
@ Eldense
3–1
W
7 Jun
@ Zamora
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Antequera – last 6
DLWLWD
12 Sep
vs Alcorcon
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Zaragoza
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Ibiza
3–2
W
8 Aug
vs Granada CF
0–3
L
17 Apr
@ Real Murcia
3–2
W
15 Mar
@ Sevilla Atletico
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villarreal II and Antequera.
What is the prediction for Villarreal II vs Antequera?
Our pick is Villarreal II or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Villarreal II vs Antequera?
On our numbers Villarreal II have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Antequera 15%.
How many goals will there be in Villarreal II vs Antequera?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villarreal II vs Antequera?
Our predicted score is Villarreal II 1–0 Antequera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Villarreal II vs Antequera?
Villarreal II vs Antequera (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
