Primera División RFEF Group 2 · Spain · Estadio Cerro del EspinoRayo Majadahonda vs Teruel prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.98 · bookmaker 2.00 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Teruel to win @ 3.60 – our chance 34% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Rayo Majadahonda 1.1 – 1.0 Teruel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Rayo Majadahonda and Teruel on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 34% for the visitors and 26% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Rayo Majadahonda have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. Teruel have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.1 for Rayo Majadahonda, 1.0 for Teruel). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (12%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 50% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.00 is close to our fair price of 1.98. For a bigger price, Teruel to win at 3.60 is our value angle (34% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Rayo Majadahonda to win ✓ | 40% | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 50% | 1.98 | 2.00 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 48% | 2.09 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Rayo Majadahonda / FT Rayo Majadahonda ✗ | 22% | 4.64 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.68 | – |
Form
Rayo Majadahonda – last 6
| 12 Sep | vs FC Cartagena | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Ibiza | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Villarreal II | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Gimnástica Segoviana | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Aug | @ Alcorcon | 1–1 | D |
| 3 May | vs Rayo Vallecano II | 3–0 | W |
Teruel – last 6
| 12 Sep | vs Real Jaén | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | @ Real Murcia | 0–4 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs Real Madrid II | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Aug | @ Valencia U21 | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs Castellón II | 0–0 | D |
| 22 May | @ Marbella | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rayo Majadahonda and Teruel.
Primera División RFEF Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaragoza | 11 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Villarreal II | 11 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 |  Real Murcia | 11 | +4 | 20 |
| 4 |  Real Jaén | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Alcorcon | 11 | +9 | 18 |
| 6 |  Ibiza | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 |  Hércules | 11 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 |  FC Cartagena | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 9 |  Real Madrid II | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 10 |  Huesca | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 |  Gimnastic | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  Antequera | 11 | +2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Algeciras | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 |  Sant Andreu | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atlético Madrid II | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 16 |  Europa Fc | 11 | -11 | 10 |
| 17 |  Águilas | 11 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 |  Juventud Torremolinos | 11 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 |  Rayo Majadahonda | 11 | -7 | 7 |
| 20 |  Teruel | 11 | -13 | 7 |
More Primera División RFEF Group 2 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Rayo Majadahonda vs Teruel?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Rayo Majadahonda vs Teruel?
On our numbers Rayo Majadahonda have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Teruel 34%.
How many goals will there be in Rayo Majadahonda vs Teruel?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Rayo Majadahonda vs Teruel?
Rayo Majadahonda vs Teruel (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cerro del Espino.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.