Deportivo La Coruña II vs Barakaldo prediction & analysis
76%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.28
8/10Rating
1.28Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarakaldo to win43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112% · fair 8.25
Deportivo La Coruña II vs Barakaldo preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo La Coruña II host Barakaldo in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 14 November, with kick-off at 18:45 (WAT) at Ciudad Deportiva de Abegondo. Deportivo La Coruña II are 18th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Barakaldo sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Deportivo La Coruña II's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Arenas Getxo 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Barakaldo's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Real Unión 2–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Barakaldo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Deportivo La Coruña II and 1.2 for Barakaldo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo La Coruña II 33%, draw 24%, Barakaldo 43%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.91.
Prediction
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Deportivo La Coruña II 1–1 Barakaldo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo La Coruña II33%fair 3.04 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.20
Barakaldo43%fair 2.31 · @2.20
2.33Expected goals
1.09Deportivo La Coruña II xG
1.24Barakaldo xG
48%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Deportivo La Coruña II 1.1 – 1.2 Barakaldo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Deportivo La Coruña II
Barakaldo
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 1 average
-6%
-18%
Goals conceded vs average
+27%
-21%
Our expected goals here
1.03
1.12
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barakaldo to win
43%
2.31
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
52%
1.93
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barakaldo / FT Barakaldo
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
12%
8.25
–
Form
Deportivo La Coruña II – last 6
LWLLLL
8 Nov
@ Arenas Getxo
1–2
L
1 Nov
@ Zamora
3–1
W
24 Oct
vs Extremadura 1924
0–5
L
17 Oct
@ Lugo
0–3
L
10 Oct
vs Racing Ferrol
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ UD Logroñés
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Barakaldo – last 6
WDDWLD
7 Nov
vs Real Unión
2–0
W
1 Nov
vs Pontevedra
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Ponferradina
0–0
D
17 Oct
vs Mirandes
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ UD Ourense
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Arenas Getxo
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo La Coruña II and Barakaldo.
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Coruña II vs Barakaldo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Deportivo La Coruña II vs Barakaldo?
On our numbers Deportivo La Coruña II have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Barakaldo 43%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Coruña II vs Barakaldo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Coruña II vs Barakaldo?
Our predicted score is Deportivo La Coruña II 1–1 Barakaldo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Deportivo La Coruña II vs Barakaldo?
Deportivo La Coruña II vs Barakaldo (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad Deportiva de Abegondo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
