Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMérida AD to win ✗65% · @1.70
Double chanceMérida AD or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36
Mérida AD vs CD Coria preview and prediction
The match
CD Coria travel to Estadio Romano Jose Fouto in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 25 October (18:45 WAT) to face Mérida AD. Mérida AD are 8th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while CD Coria sit 17th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Mérida AD's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Arenas Getxo 4–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
CD Coria's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Athletic Club II 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Mérida AD arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.3 for Mérida AD and 1.1 for CD Coria. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mérida AD 65%, draw 19%, CD Coria 16%.
Safer route: Mérida AD or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mérida AD to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mérida AD 2–1 CD Coria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mérida AD65%fair 1.54 · @1.70
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.30
CD Coria16%fair 6.34 · @4.00
3.44Expected goals
2.35Mérida AD xG
1.09CD Coria xG
63%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Mérida AD 2.3 – 1.1 CD Coria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mérida AD to win✗
65%
1.54
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Mérida AD or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Mérida AD ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mérida AD / FT Mérida AD✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.36
–
Form
Mérida AD – last 6
WWWLLL
18 Oct
@ Arenas Getxo
4–0
W
11 Oct
@ Pontevedra
2–1
W
4 Oct
vs Cacereño
2–0
W
27 Sep
vs UD Logroñés
3–5
L
19 Sep
@ Ponferradina
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Mirandes
3–4
L
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
CD Coria – last 6
WLLDDL
18 Oct
vs Athletic Club II
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Extremadura 1924
2–4
L
4 Oct
@ Zamora
0–2
L
26 Sep
@ Cultural Leonesa
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Real Avilés
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Lugo
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mérida AD and CD Coria.
Our pick is Mérida AD to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Mérida AD vs CD Coria?
On our numbers Mérida AD have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and CD Coria 16%.
How many goals will there be in Mérida AD vs CD Coria?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mérida AD vs CD Coria?
Our predicted score is Mérida AD 2–1 CD Coria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Mérida AD vs CD Coria?
Mérida AD vs CD Coria (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Romano Jose Fouto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
