Barakaldo vs Extremadura 1924 prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Barakaldo or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Barakaldo to win @ 1.95 – our chance 64% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarakaldo to win ✓64% · @1.95
Double chanceBarakaldo or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 6.00
Barakaldo vs Extremadura 1924 preview and prediction
The match
Barakaldo host Extremadura 1924 in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Friday 11 September, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Campo de Lasesarre. Barakaldo are 12th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Extremadura 1924 sit 7th on 16 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Barakaldo's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to CD Coria 1–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Extremadura 1924's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Racing Ferrol 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Extremadura 1924 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Barakaldo and 0.6 for Extremadura 1924. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Barakaldo to win at 1.95 – 64% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Barakaldo or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Barakaldo 1–0 Extremadura 1924. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barakaldo64%fair 1.56 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.20
Extremadura 192413%fair 7.64 · @3.70
2.33Expected goals
1.72Barakaldo xG
0.62Extremadura 1924 xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Barakaldo 1.7 – 0.6 Extremadura 1924 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barakaldo to win✓
64%
1.56
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Barakaldo or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Half-time result
Barakaldo ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barakaldo / FT Barakaldo✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
17%
6.00
–
Form
Barakaldo – last 6
LDLWLL
5 Sep
@ CD Coria
1–4
L
30 Aug
vs Cultural Leonesa
0–0
D
14 Aug
@ Portugalete
0–2
L
9 May
vs Mérida AD
2–0
W
1 May
@ Tenerife
0–2
L
19 Apr
@ Ponferradina
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Extremadura 1924 – last 6
WLDWWW
6 Sep
vs Racing Ferrol
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ UD Logroñés
1–2
L
14 Aug
@ CD Coria
2–2
D
3 May
@ Linares Deportivo
2–1
W
26 Apr
vs La Unión Atlético
4–2
W
29 Mar
vs Deportiva Minera
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barakaldo and Extremadura 1924.
What is the prediction for Barakaldo vs Extremadura 1924?
Our pick is Barakaldo or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Barakaldo vs Extremadura 1924?
On our numbers Barakaldo have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Extremadura 1924 13%.
How many goals will there be in Barakaldo vs Extremadura 1924?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barakaldo vs Extremadura 1924?
Our predicted score is Barakaldo 1–0 Extremadura 1924, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Barakaldo vs Extremadura 1924?
Barakaldo vs Extremadura 1924 (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo de Lasesarre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
