Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMexico to win ✗38% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.94
Mexico vs England preview and prediction
The match
Mexico host England in the World Cup on Monday 6 July, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Azteca.
Form guide
Mexico's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Ecuador 2–0 at home. At home they have won 5 and lost 0 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
England's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Congo DR 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Mexico and 1.2 for England. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mexico 38%, draw 24%, England 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Mexico 1–1 England. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mexico38%fair 2.63 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.15
England38%fair 2.66 · @2.58
2.33Expected goals
1.17Mexico xG
1.16England xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Mexico 1.2 – 1.2 England expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mexico to win✗
38%
2.63
2.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mexico / FT Mexico✗
20%
4.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.94
–
Form
Mexico – last 6
WWWWWW
1 Jul
vs Ecuador
2–0
W
25 Jun
@ Czechia
3–0
W
19 Jun
vs South Korea
1–0
W
11 Jun
vs South Africa
2–0
W
5 Jun
vs Serbia
5–1
W
31 May
vs Australia
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
England – last 6
WWDWWW
1 Jul
vs Congo DR
2–1
W
27 Jun
@ Panama
2–0
W
23 Jun
vs Ghana
0–0
D
17 Jun
vs Croatia
4–2
W
10 Jun
vs Costa Rica
3–0
W
6 Jun
vs New Zealand
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mexico and England.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Mexico vs England?
On our numbers Mexico have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and England 38%.
How many goals will there be in Mexico vs England?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mexico vs England?
Our predicted score is Mexico 1–1 England, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mexico vs England?
Mexico vs England (World Cup) kicks off on Monday 6 July 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Azteca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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