Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRayo Vallecano to win55% · @1.91
Double chanceRayo Vallecano or draw81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.35
Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia preview and prediction
The match
Valencia travel to Campo de Futbol de Vallecas in the La Liga on Saturday 21 November (16:15 WAT) to face Rayo Vallecano. Rayo Vallecano are 14th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Valencia sit 19th on 9 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Rayo Vallecano's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Real Sociedad 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Valencia's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Tavernes 6–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 May 2026, finished Valencia 1–1 Rayo Vallecano.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Rayo Vallecano and 0.9 for Valencia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 51%.
Safer route: Rayo Vallecano or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.91.
Prediction
The Footrivo pick: Rayo Vallecano or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Valencia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rayo Vallecano55%fair 1.83 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.40
Valencia19%fair 5.17 · @3.90
2.61Expected goals
1.69Rayo Vallecano xG
0.92Valencia xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Rayo Vallecano 1.7 – 0.9 Valencia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
Attack vs La Liga average
-2%
-28%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.63
0.89
Our own ratings from every La Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia?
Our pick is Rayo Vallecano or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia?
On our numbers Rayo Vallecano have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Valencia 19%.
How many goals will there be in Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia?
Our predicted score is Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Valencia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia?
Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
