Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction & analysis
77%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Deportivo La Coruna to win @ 3.60 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlaves to win45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.52
Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruna preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo La Coruna travel to Estadio Mendizorrotza in the La Liga on Saturday 21 November (14:00 WAT) to face Alaves. Alaves are 12th with 13 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo La Coruna sit 9th on 15 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Alaves's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Anaitasuna 6–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Deportivo La Coruna's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Espanyol 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Alaves and 1.1 for Deportivo La Coruna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alaves 45%, draw 25%, Deportivo La Coruna 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Deportivo La Coruna to win at 3.60 – 30% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our prediction: Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Alaves 1–1 Deportivo La Coruna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alaves45%fair 2.23 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.25
Deportivo La Coruna30%fair 3.36 · @3.60
2.42Expected goals
1.35Alaves xG
1.07Deportivo La Coruna xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Alaves 1.4 – 1.1 Deportivo La Coruna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Alaves
Deportivo La Coruna
Attack vs La Liga average
-10%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.30
1.05
Our own ratings from every La Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alaves to win
45%
2.23
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.87
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alaves / FT Alaves
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.52
–
Form
Alaves – last 6
WDLDLL
10 Nov
@ Anaitasuna
6–1
W
6 Nov
@ Sevilla
0–0
D
31 Oct
@ Barcelona
1–6
L
23 Oct
vs Malaga
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Celta Vigo
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Atletico Madrid
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Deportivo La Coruna – last 6
DWWLDL
7 Nov
@ Espanyol
0–0
D
2 Nov
vs Osasuna
2–1
W
29 Oct
@ Auriense
3–0
W
24 Oct
@ Atletico Madrid
0–1
L
16 Oct
vs Levante
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Real Sociedad
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alaves and Deportivo La Coruna.
What is the prediction for Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruna?
On our numbers Alaves have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo La Coruna 30%.
How many goals will there be in Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruna?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Our predicted score is Alaves 1–1 Deportivo La Coruna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruna (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mendizorrotza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
