The La Liga sees Getafe take on Malaga on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez. Getafe are 15th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Malaga sit 20th on 5 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Getafe's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Real Betis 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Malaga's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Villarreal 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.2 for Getafe and 0.8 for Malaga. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Getafe 50%, draw 23%, Malaga 27%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.25.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 2.25, above our fair price of 1.94, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Getafe 1–1 Malaga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Getafe50%fair 2.01 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.00
Malaga27%fair 3.74 · @4.00
2.00Expected goals
1.22Getafe xG
0.78Malaga xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
0–014%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Getafe 1.2 – 0.8 Malaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Getafe to win✓
50%
2.01
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Getafe / FT Getafe✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
17%
6.05
–
Form
Getafe – last 6
LDDLLW
17 Sep
@ Real Betis
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Deportivo La Coruna
1–1
D
7 Sep
vs Celta Vigo
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Osasuna
0–1
L
27 Aug
@ FK Partizan
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Racing Santander
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Malaga – last 6
LDDLDL
17 Sep
vs Villarreal
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Celta Vigo
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Levante
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Real Madrid
0–4
L
24 Aug
vs Deportivo La Coruna
1–1
D
19 Aug
@ Atletico Madrid
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Getafe and Malaga.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.25.
Who will win Getafe vs Malaga?
On our numbers Getafe have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Malaga 27%.
How many goals will there be in Getafe vs Malaga?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Getafe vs Malaga?
Our predicted score is Getafe 1–1 Malaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Getafe vs Malaga?
Getafe vs Malaga (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.