La Liga · Spain · Municipal de BalaídosCelta Vigo vs Racing Santander prediction & analysis
Celta Vigo or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Celta Vigo to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Celta Vigo 2.1 – 0.9 Racing Santander expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Celta Vigo are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 12% for Racing Santander.
Celta Vigo have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (0W 3D 3L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.2 per game. Racing Santander have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.8 scored and 2.7 conceded. Racing Santander come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.1 for Celta Vigo, 0.9 for Racing Santander). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is Celta Vigo or draw at a 88% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is better than our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Celta Vigo to win at 1.75 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Celta Vigo to win ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | Celta Vigo or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | 1.22 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Celta Vigo ahead at half-time ✓ | 48% | 2.10 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Celta Vigo / FT Celta Vigo ✓ | 43% | 2.35 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.99 | – |
Form
Celta Vigo – last 6
| 16 Sep | @ Omonia Nicosia | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Malaga | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Sep | @ Getafe | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Sep | @ Real Sociedad | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs Athletic Club | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Aug | vs Osasuna | 1–2 | L |
Racing Santander – last 6
| 16 Sep | @ Barcelona | 2–7 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Alaves | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Rayo Vallecano | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs Elche | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ Getafe | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | vs Villarreal | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celta Vigo and Racing Santander.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 12 | +35 | 33 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 12 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid | 12 | +13 | 28 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 12 | +5 | 26 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 12 | +1 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 12 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Racing Santander | 12 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 |  Alaves | 12 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Espanyol | 12 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano | 11 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 |  Getafe | 12 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 12 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |  Levante | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 |  Elche | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 12 | -12 | 9 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 12 | -14 | 5 |
More La Liga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?
Our pick is Celta Vigo or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?
On our numbers Celta Vigo have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Racing Santander 12%.
How many goals will there be in Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?
Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Balaídos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.