Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
2
Value bet: Espanyol to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOsasuna to win ✗43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.63
Osasuna vs Espanyol preview and prediction
The match
The La Liga sees Osasuna take on Espanyol on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 15:15 (WAT) at Estadio El Sadar. Osasuna are 16th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Espanyol sit 13th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Osasuna's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Alaves 2–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Espanyol's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Sevilla 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Osasuna 1–2 Espanyol.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Osasuna and 1.3 for Espanyol. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Osasuna 43%, draw 23%, Espanyol 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Espanyol to win at 3.50 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Osasuna 1–1 Espanyol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Osasuna43%fair 2.32 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.10
Espanyol34%fair 2.92 · @3.50
2.75Expected goals
1.47Osasuna xG
1.28Espanyol xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Osasuna 1.5 – 1.3 Espanyol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Osasuna vs Espanyol?
On our numbers Osasuna have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Espanyol 34%.
How many goals will there be in Osasuna vs Espanyol?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Osasuna vs Espanyol?
Our predicted score is Osasuna 1–1 Espanyol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Osasuna vs Espanyol?
Osasuna vs Espanyol (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Sadar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
