La Liga · Spain · Estadio El SardineroRacing Santander vs Alaves prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
Value bet: Alaves to win @ 2.75 – our chance 44% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Racing Santander 1.6 – 1.9 Alaves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Alaves shade it despite being away from home – 44% to win, against 35% for Racing Santander.
Racing Santander have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.7 per game. Alaves have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 2.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. Alaves come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.5 goals (1.6 for Racing Santander, 1.9 for Alaves). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (9%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (7%).
In their last 1 meeting, Racing Santander have won 0, Alaves have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is better than our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Alaves to win at 2.75 is our value angle (44% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Alaves to win ✗ | 44% | 2.25 | 2.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.62 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 36% | 2.77 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Alaves / FT Alaves ✗ | 27% | 3.73 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.61 | – |
Form
Racing Santander – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Rayo Vallecano | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs Elche | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ Getafe | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | vs Villarreal | 2–2 | D |
| 7 Aug | vs Alaves | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Aug | vs Sporting Gijon | 4–1 | W |
Alaves – last 6
| 6 Sep | vs Osasuna | 5–2 | W |
| 28 Aug | vs Villarreal | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | @ Rayo Vallecano | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Getafe | 3–0 | W |
| 7 Aug | @ Racing Santander | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Jul | vs Castellón | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
| 7 Aug 2026 | Racing Santander v Alaves | 1–1 |
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 12 | +35 | 33 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 12 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid | 12 | +13 | 28 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 12 | +5 | 26 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 12 | +1 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 12 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Racing Santander | 12 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 |  Alaves | 12 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Espanyol | 12 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano | 11 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 |  Getafe | 12 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 12 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |  Levante | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 |  Elche | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 12 | -12 | 9 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 12 | -14 | 5 |
More La Liga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Racing Santander vs Alaves?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Racing Santander vs Alaves?
On our numbers Racing Santander have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Alaves 44%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Santander vs Alaves?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
When is Racing Santander vs Alaves?
Racing Santander vs Alaves (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Sardinero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.