Value bet: Elche to win @ 3.35 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRacing Santander to win ✓46% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.92
Racing Santander vs Elche preview and prediction
The match
Elche travel to El Sardinero in the La Liga on Friday 28 August (18:00 WAT) to face Racing Santander. Racing Santander are 10th with 14 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Elche sit 18th on 10 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Racing Santander's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Getafe 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Elche's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to Barcelona 0–5 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Elche arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for Racing Santander and 1.3 for Elche. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Racing Santander 46%, draw 22%, Elche 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Elche to win at 3.35 – 32% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Racing Santander 1–1 Elche. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Racing Santander46%fair 2.18 · @2.12
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.35
Elche32%fair 3.09 · @3.35
2.87Expected goals
1.59Racing Santander xG
1.28Elche xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Racing Santander 1.6 – 1.3 Elche expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Racing Santander to win✓
46%
2.18
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Racing Santander / FT Racing Santander✓
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.92
–
Form
Racing Santander – last 6
LDDWLL
23 Aug
@ Getafe
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Villarreal
2–2
D
7 Aug
vs Alaves
1–1
D
7 Aug
vs Sporting Gijon
4–1
W
1 Aug
@ Wolves
0–3
L
29 Jul
vs Athletic Club
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Elche – last 6
LDDDWW
23 Aug
vs Barcelona
0–5
L
17 Aug
@ Deportivo La Coruna
1–1
D
31 Jul
vs Cordoba
2–2
D
28 Jul
vs Al Ain
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Kaizer Chiefs
2–1
W
17 May
vs Getafe
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Racing Santander and Elche.
What is the prediction for Racing Santander vs Elche?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Racing Santander vs Elche?
On our numbers Racing Santander have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Elche 32%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Santander vs Elche?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Santander vs Elche?
Our predicted score is Racing Santander 1–1 Elche, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Racing Santander vs Elche?
Racing Santander vs Elche (La Liga) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at El Sardinero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
