Value bet: Celta Vigo to win @ 3.15 – our chance 40% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCelta Vigo to win ✗40% · @3.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.82
Valencia vs Celta Vigo preview and prediction
The match
The La Liga sees Valencia take on Celta Vigo on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Estadio de Mestalla. Valencia are 19th with 9 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Celta Vigo sit 11th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Valencia's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Newcastle 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Celta Vigo's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Napoli 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Celta Vigo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Valencia 2–3 Celta Vigo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Valencia and 1.2 for Celta Vigo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Valencia 36%, draw 24%, Celta Vigo 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Celta Vigo to win at 3.15 – 40% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Valencia 1–1 Celta Vigo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valencia36%fair 2.80 · @2.28
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Celta Vigo40%fair 2.50 · @3.15
2.39Expected goals
1.15Valencia xG
1.24Celta Vigo xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Valencia 1.2 – 1.2 Celta Vigo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
On our numbers Valencia have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Celta Vigo 40%.
How many goals will there be in Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
Our predicted score is Valencia 1–1 Celta Vigo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
Valencia vs Celta Vigo (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Mestalla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
