Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAthletic Club to win ✗61% · @1.69
Double chanceAthletic Club or draw ✗84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.97
Athletic Club vs Sevilla preview and prediction
The match
Athletic Club host Sevilla in the La Liga on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Athletic Club are 7th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Sevilla sit 6th on 18 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Athletic Club's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Zaragoza 1–3 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Sevilla's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Rayo Vallecano 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Sevilla arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Athletic Club and 0.8 for Sevilla. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Athletic Club 61%, draw 24%, Sevilla 16%.
Safer route: Athletic Club or draw (84%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 54% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Athletic Club 2–0 Sevilla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Athletic Club61%fair 1.65 · @1.69
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.50
Sevilla16%fair 6.45 · @5.20
2.70Expected goals
1.86Athletic Club xG
0.84Sevilla xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Athletic Club 1.9 – 0.8 Sevilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athletic Club to win✗
61%
1.65
1.69
Double chance
Athletic Club or draw✗
84%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.22
Half-time result
Athletic Club ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Athletic Club / FT Athletic Club✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.97
–
Form
Athletic Club – last 6
LLLWWD
21 Aug
@ Zaragoza
1–3
L
14 Aug
@ Atalanta
0–1
L
9 Aug
@ Marseille
1–3
L
1 Aug
@ Burgos
3–0
W
29 Jul
@ Racing Santander
3–0
W
25 Jul
vs Eibar
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sevilla – last 6
WLWWWD
15 Aug
vs Rayo Vallecano
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Bayer Leverkusen
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ Utrecht
1–0
W
31 Jul
@ NEC Nijmegen
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs AD Ceuta FC
2–1
W
23 Jul
@ Cordoba
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Club and Sevilla.
What is the prediction for Athletic Club vs Sevilla?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Athletic Club vs Sevilla?
On our numbers Athletic Club have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sevilla 16%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Club vs Sevilla?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athletic Club vs Sevilla?
Our predicted score is Athletic Club 2–0 Sevilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Athletic Club vs Sevilla?
Athletic Club vs Sevilla (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
