AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting Gijon to win ✓40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.64
AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon preview and prediction
The match
AD Ceuta FC host Sporting Gijon in the Segunda División on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 16:15 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube. AD Ceuta FC are 22nd with 5 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Sporting Gijon sit 7th on 22 points (in the top half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
AD Ceuta FC's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Poblense 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Sporting Gijon's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Guijuelo 3–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Sporting Gijon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for AD Ceuta FC and 1.4 for Sporting Gijon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: AD Ceuta FC 37%, draw 23%, Sporting Gijon 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Sporting Gijon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AD Ceuta FC37%fair 2.69 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
Sporting Gijon40%fair 2.50 · @2.50
2.68Expected goals
1.31AD Ceuta FC xG
1.37Sporting Gijon xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: AD Ceuta FC 1.3 – 1.4 Sporting Gijon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Gijon to win✓
40%
2.50
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Gijon / FT Sporting Gijon✓
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.64
–
Form
AD Ceuta FC – last 6
WLLLDW
29 Oct
@ Poblense
2–1
W
25 Oct
@ Cadiz
1–3
L
18 Oct
vs Oviedo
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Sabadell
1–2
L
4 Oct
@ Castellón
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Real Sociedad II
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sporting Gijon – last 6
WLWWWL
29 Oct
@ Guijuelo
3–1
W
25 Oct
@ Castellón
0–4
L
17 Oct
vs Albacete
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Cadiz
1–0
W
4 Oct
vs Celta de Vigo II
3–2
W
27 Sep
@ Oviedo
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AD Ceuta FC and Sporting Gijon.
What is the prediction for AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon?
On our numbers AD Ceuta FC have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sporting Gijon 40%.
How many goals will there be in AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon?
Our predicted score is AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Sporting Gijon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon?
AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
