Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCastellón to win ✗52% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.77
Burgos vs Castellón preview and prediction
The match
Burgos host Castellón in the Segunda División on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT). Burgos are 3rd with 24 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Castellón sit 2nd on 27 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Burgos's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Laredo 4–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Castellón's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Conquense 3–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.0 for Burgos and 1.5 for Castellón. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Burgos 26%, draw 22%, Castellón 52%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Burgos 1–1 Castellón. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Burgos26%fair 3.80 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.20
Castellón52%fair 1.94 · @2.05
2.45Expected goals
0.96Burgos xG
1.49Castellón xG
59%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–09%
1–08%
From our goals model: Burgos 1.0 – 1.5 Castellón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Castellón to win✗
52%
1.94
2.05 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Castellón / FT Castellón✗
30%
3.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.77
–
Form
Burgos – last 6
WWWLLW
29 Oct
@ Laredo
4–2
W
26 Oct
@ FC Andorra
3–2
W
18 Oct
vs Sabadell
1–0
W
12 Oct
vs Granada CF
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Almeria
1–2
L
27 Sep
vs Eldense
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Castellón – last 6
WWWLDW
29 Oct
@ Conquense
3–0
W
25 Oct
vs Sporting Gijon
4–0
W
17 Oct
@ Las Palmas
3–0
W
11 Oct
@ FC Andorra
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs AD Ceuta FC
1–1
D
28 Sep
@ Leganes
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burgos and Castellón.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Burgos vs Castellón?
On our numbers Burgos have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Castellón 52%.
How many goals will there be in Burgos vs Castellón?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burgos vs Castellón?
Our predicted score is Burgos 1–1 Castellón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Burgos vs Castellón?
Burgos vs Castellón (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
