Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlmeria to win ✗62% · @1.67
Double chanceAlmeria or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.88
Almeria vs Oviedo preview and prediction
The match
Oviedo travel to face Almeria in the Segunda División on Saturday 24 October (20:00 WAT). Almeria are 1st with 29 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Oviedo sit 9th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Almeria's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Real Sociedad II 4–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Oviedo's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat AD Ceuta FC 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Almeria arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Almeria and 0.7 for Oviedo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Almeria 62%, draw 24%, Oviedo 14%.
Safer route: Almeria or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Almeria to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Almeria 1–0 Oviedo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Almeria62%fair 1.62 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.60
Oviedo14%fair 6.96 · @4.60
2.50Expected goals
1.77Almeria xG
0.73Oviedo xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Almeria 1.8 – 0.7 Oviedo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almeria to win✗
62%
1.62
1.67
Double chance
Almeria or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Almeria ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almeria / FT Almeria✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.88
–
Form
Almeria – last 6
WWWWWW
17 Oct
@ Real Sociedad II
4–2
W
11 Oct
vs Leganes
3–0
W
3 Oct
vs Burgos
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Mallorca
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Celta de Vigo II
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Cordoba
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Oviedo – last 6
WWLWLW
18 Oct
@ AD Ceuta FC
2–1
W
12 Oct
vs Eibar
3–1
W
2 Oct
@ Eldense
1–4
L
27 Sep
vs Sporting Gijon
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Sabadell
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Valladolid
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almeria and Oviedo.
Our pick is Almeria to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Almeria vs Oviedo?
On our numbers Almeria have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Oviedo 14%.
How many goals will there be in Almeria vs Oviedo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almeria vs Oviedo?
Our predicted score is Almeria 1–0 Oviedo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Almeria vs Oviedo?
Almeria vs Oviedo (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
