Segunda División · Spain · Estadio Municipal de ButarqueLeganes vs Mallorca prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.97 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Mallorca to win @ 2.25 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Leganes 0.8 – 1.1 Mallorca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Mallorca shade it despite being away from home – 49% to win, against 28% for Leganes.
Leganes have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (1W 0D 5L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 2.3 per game. Mallorca have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. Mallorca come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.9 goals (0.8 for Leganes, 1.1 for Mallorca). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (17%), 0–0 (15%), 1–1 (13%).
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 51% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is close to our fair price of 1.97. For a bigger price, Mallorca to win at 2.25 is our value angle (49% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Mallorca to win ✗ | 49% | 2.05 | 2.25 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 87% | 1.14 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Mallorca / FT Mallorca ✗ | 26% | 3.90 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 17% | 5.83 | – |
Form
Leganes – last 6
| 16 Oct | vs Cordoba | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Almeria | 0–3 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Cadiz | 0–4 | L |
| 28 Sep | vs Castellón | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Granada CF | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Tenerife | 0–2 | L |
Mallorca – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Eibar | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Las Palmas | 3–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Girona | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Almeria | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Real Sociedad II | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Sabadell | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leganes and Mallorca.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |  Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Leganes vs Mallorca?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Leganes vs Mallorca?
On our numbers Leganes have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mallorca 49%.
How many goals will there be in Leganes vs Mallorca?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Leganes vs Mallorca?
Leganes vs Mallorca (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.