Segunda División · Spain · Estadio José ZorrillaValladolid vs Albacete prediction & analysis
Valladolid or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Valladolid to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Valladolid 1.7 – 0.8 Albacete expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Valladolid hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 16% for Albacete.
Valladolid have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 per game. Albacete have 1 points from their last 6 (0W 1D 5L), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.8 conceded. Valladolid come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.7 for Valladolid, 0.8 for Albacete). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Valladolid or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Valladolid to win at 1.95 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Valladolid to win ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Valladolid or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.32 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Valladolid / FT Valladolid ✓ | 37% | 2.73 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.83 | – |
Form
Valladolid – last 6
| 4 Oct | @ Las Palmas | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Cordoba | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ AD Ceuta FC | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Oviedo | 0–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs FC Andorra | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ Cadiz | 1–1 | D |
Albacete – last 6
| 3 Oct | vs Eibar | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Sep | @ Girona | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs Cordoba | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Granada CF | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Castellón | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Oviedo | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valladolid and Albacete.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |  Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Valladolid vs Albacete?
Our pick is Valladolid or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Valladolid vs Albacete?
On our numbers Valladolid have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Albacete 16%.
How many goals will there be in Valladolid vs Albacete?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Valladolid vs Albacete?
Valladolid vs Albacete (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio José Zorrilla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.