Segunda División · Spain · Municipal El PlantioBurgos vs Granada CF prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.89 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Burgos 1.6 – 1.4 Granada CF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Burgos hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 33% for Granada CF.
Burgos have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.0 per game. Granada CF have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded. Burgos come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.6 for Burgos, 1.4 for Granada CF). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 53% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is close to our fair price of 1.89.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Burgos to win ✗ | 44% | 2.27 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.89 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 40% | 2.50 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Burgos / FT Burgos ✗ | 26% | 3.89 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.09 | – |
Form
Burgos – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ Almeria | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Eldense | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Las Palmas | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs AD Ceuta FC | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Oviedo | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Aug | vs Real Sociedad II | 2–2 | D |
Granada CF – last 6
| 4 Oct | @ Real Sociedad II | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs FC Andorra | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Leganes | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Albacete | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Eibar | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | @ Cordoba | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burgos and Granada CF.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |  Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Burgos vs Granada CF?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Burgos vs Granada CF?
On our numbers Burgos have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Granada CF 33%.
How many goals will there be in Burgos vs Granada CF?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Burgos vs Granada CF?
Burgos vs Granada CF (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Municipal El Plantio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.