Segunda División · Spain · Nuevo Carlos TartiereOviedo vs Eibar prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
Value bet: Eibar to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Oviedo 1.3 – 1.3 Eibar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Oviedo and Eibar on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Oviedo have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 per game. Eibar have 18 points from their last 6 (6W 0D 0L), averaging 2.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. Eibar come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.3 for Oviedo, 1.3 for Eibar). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.91 is better than our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Eibar to win at 3.25 is our value angle (36% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Oviedo to win ✓ | 38% | 2.61 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.71 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.38 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.34 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.30 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Oviedo / FT Oviedo ✓ | 22% | 4.61 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.94 | – |
Form
Oviedo – last 6
| 2 Oct | @ Eldense | 1–4 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Sporting Gijon | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Sabadell | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Valladolid | 3–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Burgos | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Albacete | 1–0 | W |
Eibar – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ Albacete | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Las Palmas | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Eldense | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | @ Celta de Vigo II | 4–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Granada CF | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ FC Andorra | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oviedo and Eibar.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |  Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Oviedo vs Eibar?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Oviedo vs Eibar?
On our numbers Oviedo have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Eibar 36%.
How many goals will there be in Oviedo vs Eibar?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Oviedo vs Eibar?
Oviedo vs Eibar (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Carlos Tartiere.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.