The Segunda División sees Mallorca take on Las Palmas on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix. Mallorca are 6th with 22 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Las Palmas sit 10th on 20 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Mallorca's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Girona 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Las Palmas's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Valladolid 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Mallorca arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Mallorca and 0.5 for Las Palmas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mallorca 69%, draw 20%, Las Palmas 12%.
Safer route: Mallorca or draw (88%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mallorca to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mallorca 1–0 Las Palmas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mallorca69%fair 1.46 · @1.57
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @3.80
Las Palmas12%fair 8.43 · @5.00
2.25Expected goals
1.73Mallorca xG
0.52Las Palmas xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–016%
0–011%
1–19%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Mallorca 1.7 – 0.5 Las Palmas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mallorca to win✓
69%
1.46
1.57 ▲
Double chance
Mallorca or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Mallorca ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mallorca / FT Mallorca✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.48
–
Form
Mallorca – last 6
DLWWDW
4 Oct
@ Girona
0–0
D
27 Sep
vs Almeria
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Real Sociedad II
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Sabadell
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Eldense
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs AD Ceuta FC
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Las Palmas – last 6
DLLWDL
4 Oct
vs Valladolid
2–2
D
27 Sep
@ Eibar
2–3
L
20 Sep
vs Burgos
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Cadiz
1–0
W
4 Sep
vs Leganes
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Girona
2–5
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mallorca and Las Palmas.
What is the prediction for Mallorca vs Las Palmas?
Our pick is Mallorca to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Mallorca vs Las Palmas?
On our numbers Mallorca have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Las Palmas 12%.
How many goals will there be in Mallorca vs Las Palmas?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mallorca vs Las Palmas?
Our predicted score is Mallorca 1–0 Las Palmas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mallorca vs Las Palmas?
Mallorca vs Las Palmas (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
