Value bet: Real Sociedad II to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Sociedad II to win ✗41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.31
AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II preview and prediction
The match
Real Sociedad II travel to Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube in the Segunda División on Saturday 26 September (13:00 WAT) to face AD Ceuta FC. AD Ceuta FC are 22nd with 5 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Real Sociedad II sit 17th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
AD Ceuta FC's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Valladolid 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Real Sociedad II's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Mallorca 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Real Sociedad II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 April 2026, finished AD Ceuta FC 0–0 Real Sociedad II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for AD Ceuta FC and 1.5 for Real Sociedad II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AD Ceuta FC 36%, draw 23%, Real Sociedad II 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Real Sociedad II to win at 2.70 – 41% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Real Sociedad II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AD Ceuta FC36%fair 2.79 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.40
Real Sociedad II41%fair 2.42 · @2.70
2.81Expected goals
1.34AD Ceuta FC xG
1.46Real Sociedad II xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: AD Ceuta FC 1.3 – 1.5 Real Sociedad II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II?
On our numbers AD Ceuta FC have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Sociedad II 41%.
How many goals will there be in AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II?
Our predicted score is AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Real Sociedad II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II?
AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
